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Our 2024 predictions for the Phillies and MLB: MVP, Cy Young, World Series picks, and more

The Inquirer’s baseball insiders make their picks for the Phillies, the National League East, the playoffs and World Series along with individual awards.

Will Bryce Harper return to his MVP form in 2024 as a first baseman?
Will Bryce Harper return to his MVP form in 2024 as a first baseman?Read moreYong Kim / Staff Photographer
    by Staff Reports
    Published 

October baseball is becoming habit again in Philadelphia. After coming one win short of a second straight World Series berth, the Phillies are not just playoff hopefuls — they are title contenders. And with a payroll pushing $260 million, that’s exactly what owner John Middleton expects.

The championship window is wide open for a core of players who should keep the Phillies in the running for a World Series trophy for the next few years.

But first things first: What’s in store for the 2024 Phillies?

The Inquirer’s baseball insiders make their predictions for the Phillies, the National League East, the playoffs, and World Series, along with individual awards.

How many games will the Phillies win?

  1. Scott Lauber: 92

  2. Alex Coffey: 94

  3. Matt Breen: 91

  4. David Murphy: 97

  5. Marcus Hayes: 94

Will the Phillies make the playoffs?

  1. Lauber: Yes. For $260 million, anything less would be a colossal failure.

  2. Coffey: Yes, and if they don’t, the city might need to barricade Citizens Bank Park.

  3. Breen: Yes. The new playoff format makes making the playoffs almost a guarantee.

  4. Hayes: Yes. But they will invert the results of the past two seasons; they’ll start strong, then fade.

  5. Murphy: Yes, thanks to big seasons from the bats and Ranger Suárez, plus a big trade-deadline move.

If so, will they win the NL East?

  1. Lauber: No. Now and seemingly forever, the Braves are an April-to-September wagon.

  2. Coffey: No, the Braves will win it (again).

  3. Breen: No. Atlanta is still the best regular-season team in the division. But a five-game series in October is different.

  4. Hayes: No. The Braves will win 102 games.

  5. Murphy: No, the Braves will be even better than last year thanks to a revamped pitching staff.

If so, how far will they advance?

  1. Lauber: Division series. Three times vs. the Braves isn’t a charm.

  2. Coffey: World Series.

  3. Breen: The NLCS.

  4. Hayes: They will win the World Series.

  5. Murphy: A third straight NLCS, where they’ll run into a Dodgers team that is due.

Which Phillies starting pitcher will have the most strikeouts?

  1. Lauber: Aaron Nola, 210

  2. Coffey: Zack Wheeler, 205

  3. Breen: Wheeler, 215

  4. Hayes: Nola, 220

  5. Murphy: Wheeler, 200

Who will have the lowest ERA among Phillies regular starters?

  1. Lauber: Wheeler, 2.63

  2. Coffey: Wheeler, 2.40

  3. Breen: Wheeler, 2.75

  4. Hayes: Wheeler, 2.44

  5. Murphy: Suárez, 3.45

Who will lead the Phillies in home runs?

  1. Lauber: Bryce Harper, 44

  2. Coffey: Kyle Schwarber, 45

  3. Breen: Schwarber, 44

  4. Hayes: Harper, 45

  5. Murphy: Harper, 41

Who will lead the Phillies in batting average?

  1. Lauber: Bryson Stott, .302

  2. Coffey: Trea Turner, .300

  3. Breen: Harper, .295

  4. Hayes: Turner, .320

  5. Murphy: Harper, .287

Who will lead the Phillies in OPS?

  1. Lauber: Harper, 1.003

  2. Coffey: Harper, .985

  3. Breen: Harper, .950

  4. Hayes: Harper, 1.059

  5. Murphy: Harper, .975

Who will start the most games in center field, Johan Rojas or someone else?

  1. Lauber: Rojas

  2. Coffey: Rojas

  3. Breen: Rojas

  4. Hayes: Rojas

  5. Murphy: Brandon Marsh

Who will lead the Phillies in saves?

  1. Lauber: José Alvarado

  2. Coffey: Jeff Hoffman

  3. Breen: Alvarado

  4. Hayes: Seranthony Domínguez

  5. Murphy: Gregory Soto

Which Phillie will finish highest in MVP voting?

  1. Lauber: Harper

  2. Coffey: Harper

  3. Breen: Harper

  4. Hayes: Harper

  5. Murphy: Harper

Who will be the NL MVP?

  1. Lauber: Mookie Betts, Dodgers

  2. Coffey: Betts

  3. Breen: Betts

  4. Hayes: Harper

  5. Murphy: Betts

» READ MORE: Hayes: Schwarber should hit leadoff for the Phillies (unless Harper does). It’s not debatable.

Who will win the NL Cy Young?

  1. Lauber: Wheeler

  2. Coffey: Wheeler

  3. Breen: Wheeler

  4. Hayes: Nola

  5. Murphy: Spencer Strider, Braves

Who will be the NL rookie of the year?

  1. Lauber: Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers

  2. Coffey: Yamamoto

  3. Breen: Jackson Chourio, Brewers

  4. Hayes: Yamamoto

  5. Murphy: Chourio

Who will be the AL MVP?

  1. Lauber: Juan Soto, Yankees

  2. Coffey: Soto

  3. Breen: Soto

  4. Hayes: Aaron Judge, Yankees

  5. Murphy: Soto

Who will win the AL Cy Young?

  1. Lauber: Logan Gilbert, Mariners

  2. Coffey: Corbin Burnes, Orioles

  3. Breen: Burnes

  4. Hayes: Framber Valdez, Astros

  5. Murphy: George Kirby, Mariners

» READ MORE: Murphy: Alec Bohm thinks he can hit 30-plus home runs. The signs of a power surge are there.

Who will be the AL rookie of the year?

  1. Lauber: Jackson Holliday, Orioles

  2. Coffey: Holliday

  3. Breen: Wyatt Langford, Rangers

  4. Hayes: Holliday

  5. Murphy: Langford

Who will win the World Series, over which team?

  1. Lauber: Dodgers over Orioles

  2. Coffey: Phillies over Orioles

  3. Breen: Dodgers over Orioles

  4. Hayes: Phillies over Astros

  5. Murphy: Dodgers over Orioles

Join us live from Citizens Bank Park on Friday at 1:30 p.m. for an exclusive Phillies preview on Gameday Central. Join Inquirer sports reporters Alex Coffey and Scott Lauber as they dive deep into the 2024 season with a detailed look at the Phillies’ roster, key players, and what fans can expect this season.